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在相当平静的周二和今天亚洲时段，美元兑其他货币保持相对稳定. 在货币方面, 美联储主席Powell 未能令市场振奋，因为所发表的评论无关货币政策，而是否认央行在气候变化方面的更深入参与. 这与欧洲央行董事会成员Schnabel 形成了鲜明对比， Schnabel倾向于支持欧洲央行的参与，并认为欧洲央行应为此加大力度.
昨天美国股市上涨，因为人们似乎更加乐观地认为，美国经济的通胀压力将进一步降温，进而可能缓解美联储咄咄逼人的鹰派立场. 另一方面, 可能出现衰退的威胁仍然笼罩着美国经济，但在全球范围内也是如此，我们注意到世界银行昨天发布的对经济表现的预测往往强调了负面前景. 同时, 我们注意到澳元走强, 由于11月通胀加速，零售额增长速度超出预期，表明澳大利亚普通消费者愿意并能够在澳大利亚经济中实际支出更多.
On the commodities front WTI’s price tended to edge lower as API reported a massive 14.865 million barrels build-up of oil inventories in the US exactly highlighting that demand was not able to catch up with production levels and implying a slack in the US oil market. Oil traders are expected to keep an eye out for today’s EIA crude oil inventories figure to see if the rise is verified. EUR/USD tended to remain stable just above the 1.0715 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue yet the high reading of the RSI indicator tends to imply that the prospect of a bullish outlook is still present. Should the bulls actually take charge of the pair’s direction, we may see EUR/USD breaking the 1.0845 (R1) resistance line and aim for higher grounds.
在商品方面，WTI价格小幅走低，因为 API 报告美国石油库存大量增加1486.5万桶，实际上强调了需求无法赶上产量水平，这意味着美国石油市场疲软. 预计石油交易者对今天的EIA原油库存数据保持密切关注，以查看是否确实上升.
今日其他亮点:
Today in the European session, we note the release of Turkey’s current account balance for November and from the Czech Republic the CPI rates for December, while in the American session, oil traders may be more interested in the release of the EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure. During tomorrow’s Asian session, we note the release of Japan’s current account balance for November, Australia’s trade balance for the same month and China’s inflation metrics for December.
欧元/美元4小时走势图
支撑: 1.0715 (S1), 1.0585 (S2), 1.0440 (S3)
阻力: 1.0845 (R1), 1.1000 (R2), 1.1180 (R3)
澳元/美元4小时走势图
支撑: 0.6900 (S1), 0.6800 (S2), 0.6630 (S3)
阻力: 0.7010 (R1), 0.7125 (R2), 0.7265 (R3)
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