非农就业数据大幅下降后，美元仍然疲软

The USD was soft against a number of its counterparts on Friday and during today’s Asian session, after a big miss on September’s NFP figure, which was released on Friday. On the other hand, it should be noted that the unemployment rate ticked down and average earnings growth rate accelerated which could have prevented the bears from totally taking over. On the other hand, the Loonie strengthened considerably against the USD as Canada’s employment data for the same month outperformed market expectations and highlighted the contrast in the situation of the two. However, the Loonie may have enjoyed additional support as WTI prices were on the rise surpassing $80 per barrel, a level not seen since 2014 caused by increased demand while it should be noted that natural gas prices were also on the rise. Safe haven Yen weakened on Friday and today’s early morning, given that despite the soft US employment data for September, market expectations for a possible announcement for a tapering of the Fed’s QE program seemed to remain unchanged thus prompted US yields to rise. Rising US yields on the other hand also tended to victimize the Tech sector in the US stockmarkets as Nasdaq dropped, while may also have prevented Gold bulls from taking considerable action after the release of the US employment report. Overall, we see the market being driven by fundamentals today given the low number of high impact financial releases, while trader’s attention may have started to shift towards the release of the Fed’s last meeting minutes and the US CPI rates for September, both due out on Wednesday.

另一方面值得注意的是失业率下降并且平均收入增长率加速，这可以阻止看跌趋势. 另一方面, 由于9月份加拿大就业数据超出市场预期，加元兑美元大幅走强，突显了两种情况的反差. 然而，由于WTI 价格上涨，每桶超过了80美元，这是继2014年以来从未见过的价位，是由于需求增加所致，而值得注意的是天然气价格也在上涨，因此，加元可能获得了额外支撑.

避险货币日元在周五和今天亚洲时段走弱,尽管9月份美国就业数据疲软，但市场对美联储可能宣布缩减量化宽松计划的预期似乎没有改变，因此促使美债收益率上升 另一方面，美国收益率上升也倾向于损害美国股市的科技板块，同时也可能阻止了黄金看涨在美国就业报告发布后采取重大行动. 

今日事件和预测

总体而言，鉴于具有高影响力的金融发布较少，我们看到市场今天将受基本面因素的驱使，而交易者的注意力可能已开始转向周三发布的美联储最后一次会议纪要和9月份美国消费物价指数.

本周

周一，经济日历较轻，有9月份挪威和捷克消费物价指数率

周二, 9月份日本公司产品价格增长率, 8月份英国就业数据,10月份德国ZEW 指标

周三，9月份中国贸易数据, 8月份日本机械订单, 9月份德国 HICP 率终值, 8月份英国国民生产总值和制造业产出率, 8月份欧元区工业生产率和最重要的9月份美国消费物价指数率, 而预计晚些时候美联储将发布9月份会议纪要.

周四,9月份澳大利亚就业数据, 9月份中国和瑞典通货膨胀率，周美国初次申领失业救济金人数，8月份加拿大制造业销售增长率.

周五，我们注意到9月份法国发布HICP 率终值, 10月份美国纽约联储制造业指数, 9月份零售销售，10月份密歇根大学消费者情绪初值.

美元/日元4小时走势图 

支撑: 112.25 (S1), 111.65 (S2), 110.90 (S3)

阻力: 112.90 (R1), 113.70 (R2), 114.55 (R3)

美元/加元4小时走势图 

支撑: 1.2425 (S1), 1.2330 (S2), 1.2250 (S3)

阻力: 1.2500 (R1), 1.2580 (R2), 1.2650 (R3)

如果您对本文有任何常规疑问或意见，请直接发送电子邮件至我们的研究团队，地址为 research_team@ironfx.com

免责声明:
本信息不被视为投资建议或投资推荐, 而是一种营销传播. IronFX 对本信息中引用或超链接的第三方提供的任何数据或信息概不负责.