The USD tended to gain against its counterparts yesterday on the back of solid financial data as both the retail sales growth rate and the industrial output outperformed market expectations. The acceleration of the prementioned growth rates for October continued to build on a momentum for the market sentiment strengthening the USD after the release of the US CPI Rates for the same month last week. Also on the monetary front it should be noted that St. Louis Fed President Bullard yesterday stated that the Fed should follow a more hawkish approach that provided additional support for the USD. Given that there is a low number of high impact financial data besides the US construction data we expect fundamentals to be leading the USD for today and should the market sentiment be maintained we may see the greenback gaining further.
此外在货币方面,值得注意的是圣. 路易斯联储主席Bullard 昨天表示美联储应采取更强硬的方针,为美元提供额外支持. 鉴于高影响力的金融数据数量较少,我们预计今天美元仍受基本面的驱使,如果市场情绪保持不变,我们可能会看到美元将进一步上涨.
由于欧洲央行的鸽派基调,欧元回落
昨天欧元兑美元下跌,兑英镑表现出类似行动 ,而兑避险货币日元和瑞郎似乎有所趋稳 昨天美国和英国发布的稳固的金融数据增强了市场对美联储和英国央行采取更强硬立场的预期,与鸽派的欧洲央行形成鲜明对比,从而增加了欧元的不利率差前景
表现在欧洲央行主席Lagarde 周一否绝了2022年加息的想法,这突显了欧洲央行的鸽派立场,市场希望渺茫. of November. Please note that the RSI indicator below our 4-hour chart is clearly below the reading of 30, which in the one hand confirms the bearish sentiment for the pair, yet on the other strongly suggests that the pair may be at oversold levels and could correct higher. Should a selling interest continue to be displayed by the market for EUR//USD we may see the pair breaking the 1.1225 (S1) support line, paving the way for the 1.1165 (S2) level. Should on the other hand a correction higher take place we may see the pair breaking the 1.1300 (R1) line and aim for the 1.1370 (R2) level.
尽管零售销售数据强劲,但澳元继续下跌
Today we note the release of UK’s CPI rates for October and Eurozone’s final HICP rate for the same month during the European session while on the monetary front ECB’s Lagarde and Schnabel are scheduled to speak. In the American session we get the US construction data for October and from Canada we get the CPI rates for October while oil traders may be more interested in the release of the EIA weekly crude oil inventories figure. On the monetary front NY Fed President Williams, Cleveland Fed President Mester, Chicago Fed President Evans and Atlanta Fed President Bostic are scheduled to speak.
USD Index H4 Chart

支撑位:95.60 (S1), 95.10 (S2), 94.60 (S3)
阻力: 96.15 (R1), 96.65 (R2), 97.30 (R3)
欧元/美元4小时走势图

支撑位:1.1225 (S1), 1.1165 (S2), 1.1100 (S3)
阻力位:1.1300 (R1), 1.1370 (R2), 1.1445 (R3)
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