The USD tended to gain against its counterparts yesterday as President Biden chose Jerome Powell for another term in the Fed’s highest post. The reappointment reaffirmed market expectations for a faster tightening of the bank’s monetary policy with rate hikes being possible next year. US stockmarkets tended to provide mixed reactions on the news yesterday, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq being in the reds for the day. As for financial releases we note the release of November’s US Markit preliminary PMI figures, which could provide some volatility for the USD, while the release of respective PMI readings for the Eurozone and the UK could also increase volatility for EUR and GBP pairs today. On the commodities front, we note the headlines by Reuters that the US is set to announce a release from government oil reserves in order to ease the pressure of a tight supply and to lower prices. Oil traders today may also turn their attention on the release of the API weekly crude oil inventories figure, and should another surplus be reported, we may see the bearish tendencies for oil prices intensifying.
连任重申了市场对央行加快收紧货币政策的预期,明年可能加息。 昨天美国股市往往对消息反应不一,标准普尔500 指数和纳斯达克指数全天走低。 至于金融发布,我们注意到美国市场采购经理人指数初步数据的发布,这可能会给美元带来一些波动。 在商品方面,我们注意到路透社的头条新闻,即美国将宣布释放政府储备以缓解供应紧张和价格下跌的压力。今天的石油交易商也可能将注意力转向 API 每周原油库存数据的发布,如果再次出现过剩,我们可能会看到油价的看跌趋势加剧。
欧元交易商关注PMI数据
欧元兑美元昨日继续回落,英镑亦回落,显示欧元疲软,因欧洲央行超宽松货币政策令共同货币承压,而从根本上说,欧洲疫情的路径仍令人担忧,也可能令欧元走弱。 今天,我们重点关注法国、德国和欧元区 11 月 PMI 初值的发布。
我们打算首先公布法国服务业的第一个市场反应数据,然后公布更为重要的德国制造业数据,最后公布更为全面的数据[由欧元区综合PMI数据提供]。 预计上述所有指标都将走弱,如果如此,可能会加剧对共同货币的看跌情绪,因为它们意味着该地区经济活动的扩张放缓,也可能支持欧洲央行的鸽派立场。
尽管零售销售数据强劲,但澳元继续下跌
Today we note the release of November’s preliminary Markit PMI readings for France, Germany, the Eurozone, UK and the US, while oil traders may be more interested in the release of the API crude oil inventories figure.
美元/日元4小时走势图

支撑位:114.45 (S1), 113.70 (S2), 112.25 (S3)
阻力位:115.20 (R1), 116.00 (R2), 117.10 (R3)
纽元/美元4小时走势图

支撑位:0.6910 (S1), 0.6860 (S2), 0.6805 (S3)
阻力位:0.6965 (R1), 0.7025 (R2), 0.7085 (R3)
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