{"id":60464,"date":"2023-04-11T16:00:25","date_gmt":"2023-04-11T13:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=60464"},"modified":"2025-10-13T17:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T14:00:25","slug":"gold-near-to-its-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/gold-near-to-its-peak\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold near to its peak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the <strong>market<\/strong> returns to <strong>normal<\/strong> and the <strong>levels<\/strong> of <strong>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong> are <strong>gradually<\/strong> <strong>reduced<\/strong>, <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> price has <strong>remained<\/strong> within <strong>last<\/strong> <strong>week\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>opening<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>closing<\/strong> <strong>range<\/strong>. Following <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> continued <strong>ascent<\/strong> last <strong>week<\/strong>, slight <strong>fears<\/strong> <strong>funnelled<\/strong> <strong>inflows<\/strong> into the <strong>precious<\/strong> and it now <strong>appears<\/strong> that the <strong>shiny<\/strong> <strong>metal<\/strong> is <strong>moving<\/strong> in a <strong>sideways<\/strong> <strong>motion<\/strong> as the <strong>markets<\/strong> await <strong>further<\/strong> <strong>information<\/strong>. In this report, we aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Gold stays near the $2000 psychological level<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>wide<\/strong> <strong>uncertainty<\/strong> that had <strong>existed<\/strong> during the <strong>past<\/strong> few <strong>weeks<\/strong> <strong>appears<\/strong> to have <strong>vanished<\/strong>, yet the <strong>precious<\/strong> held its ground between last week\u2019s opening and closing range, remaining <strong>relatively<\/strong> <strong>unchanged<\/strong>. Last Wednesday the <strong>US JOLTS Job openings<\/strong> for February dropped under 10 million for the first time since the 7<sup>th<\/sup> of July 2021. The <strong>unexpected<\/strong> drop <strong>highlighted<\/strong> that the <strong>US labour<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong> may be <strong>losing<\/strong> <strong>steam<\/strong> and as a result <strong>weakened<\/strong> the <strong>greenback<\/strong>, as <strong>speculation<\/strong> of a <strong>recession<\/strong> <strong>increased<\/strong>. Thus, given that the <strong>shiny<\/strong> <strong>metal<\/strong> is perceived to be a <strong>hedge<\/strong> against <strong>economic<\/strong> <strong>downturn<\/strong>, traders saw <strong>safe<\/strong> <strong>heaven<\/strong> <strong>inflows<\/strong> into the <strong>precious<\/strong> following the <strong>announcement<\/strong>. Furthermore, right on the heels of the <strong>JOLTS Job Openings<\/strong> report, the <strong>ADP Non-Farm payrolls<\/strong> figure was <strong>released<\/strong>, which <strong>supported<\/strong> the <strong>JOLTS figure<\/strong>, indicating the <strong>loosening<\/strong> of the <strong>tightness<\/strong> of the <strong>US employment market<\/strong>. This resulted in <strong>gold<\/strong> further <strong>capitalizing<\/strong> against a <strong>weaker<\/strong> <strong>greenback<\/strong> and allowed the <strong>metal\u2019s<\/strong> price to <strong>break<\/strong> <strong>above<\/strong> the <strong>$2000<\/strong> <strong>psychological<\/strong> <strong>level<\/strong> and move <strong>towards<\/strong> its <strong>all<\/strong>&#8211;<strong>time<\/strong> <strong>highs<\/strong>. On Friday however, the <strong>narrative<\/strong> <strong>shifted<\/strong> as the <strong>Non-Farm Payrolls<\/strong> report <strong>recorded<\/strong> once again <strong>solid<\/strong> <strong>results<\/strong>. Even though the <strong>headline<\/strong> <strong>figure<\/strong> came <strong>below<\/strong> <strong>estimates<\/strong> by only 3k, in the <strong>grander<\/strong> scheme of things the <strong>addition<\/strong> of 236k <strong>during<\/strong> the month of <strong>March<\/strong>, signals that the <strong>US labor force remains tight<\/strong>. More <strong>importantly<\/strong>, the <strong>unemployment<\/strong> <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>eased<\/strong> to 3.5%, just shy of the <strong>lowest levels ever recorded<\/strong> and serves as another <strong>indication<\/strong> that the <strong>employment markets remains hot<\/strong>. As a result, despite the <strong>precious<\/strong> gaining <strong>support<\/strong> due to the <strong>ADP Non-Farm Payrolls and Jolts Job openings figures<\/strong>, the <strong>gains<\/strong> made by the <strong>ADP NFP figure<\/strong> were <strong>wiped<\/strong> within the next <strong>two trading sessions<\/strong> as the <strong>greenback<\/strong> <strong>gained<\/strong> <strong>support<\/strong> leading to <strong>outflows<\/strong> from the <strong>precious<\/strong> <strong>metal<\/strong>. Given the continued <strong>tight<\/strong> <strong>labour<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong>, the <strong>Fed<\/strong> may have some <strong>leeway<\/strong> in the event that they <strong>decide<\/strong> further <strong>rate<\/strong> <strong>hikes<\/strong> are <strong>necessary<\/strong> in order to <strong>continue<\/strong> their <strong>fight<\/strong> against <strong>inflation<\/strong>. Thus, with the <strong>possibility<\/strong> of future <strong>rate hikes<\/strong> back on the table given the <strong>resilient<\/strong> <strong>results<\/strong> from the <strong>NFP<\/strong> <strong>report<\/strong>, the <strong>market<\/strong> now <strong>foresees<\/strong> that the <strong>central<\/strong> <strong>bank<\/strong> will <strong>hike<\/strong> by<strong> 25 basis points<\/strong> in its next meeting on the <strong>3<sup>rd<\/sup> of May<\/strong>, evident from the <strong>71.4% probability<\/strong> from <strong>Feds Funds Futures<\/strong>. Furthermore, <strong>NY Fed President Williams<\/strong> who on Monday <strong>dismissed<\/strong> the <strong>notion<\/strong> that <strong>the Fed\u2019s interest rate policy<\/strong> was behind the <strong>collapse<\/strong> of <strong>SVB<\/strong> stating that he personally doesn\u2019t think \u201c<strong>it was the case that the pace of rate increases was really behind the issues at the two banks back in March<\/strong>\u201d. Hence the relatively <strong>hawkish<\/strong> <strong>comments<\/strong>, <strong>facilitated<\/strong> <strong>nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch<\/strong> to <strong>speculate<\/strong> that <strong>rate hikes<\/strong> are still on the <strong>agenda<\/strong>. It should be noted that despite the <strong>hawkish remarks<\/strong> made by <strong>NY Fed President Williams<\/strong>, the comments <strong>did<\/strong> <strong>not<\/strong> result in <strong>major<\/strong> <strong>fluctuations<\/strong> in the price of <strong>gold<\/strong>, which could be due to the release of the <strong>March survey of<\/strong> <strong>Consumer of expectations<\/strong> by the <strong>NY Fed<\/strong> where \u201c<strong>respondents were more pessimistic about future credit availability as well, with the share of households expecting it will be harder to obtain credit a year from now also rising<\/strong>\u201d. Potentially fueling continued <strong>fears<\/strong> of a <strong>recession<\/strong> in the near future thus <strong>offsetting<\/strong> the <strong>hawkish<\/strong> <strong>remarks<\/strong>. The highlight of the week, however, is the widely anticipated <strong>US CPI print<\/strong> on Wednesday, that should provide <strong>valuable<\/strong> <strong>insight<\/strong> for traders as to the degree to which <strong>inflationary<\/strong> <strong>pressures<\/strong> still <strong>persist<\/strong> in the <strong>US economy<\/strong>. &nbsp;Should there be a <strong>deceleration of inflationary pressure<\/strong> we may see the <strong>precious<\/strong> <strong>metal<\/strong> <strong>strengthen<\/strong>, whereas a <strong>higher<\/strong> than <strong>anticipated<\/strong> <strong>print<\/strong>, could <strong>weaken<\/strong> <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>price<\/strong> since it may <strong>signal<\/strong> that <strong>inflationary<\/strong> <strong>pressures<\/strong> remain <strong>persistent<\/strong> in the <strong>US economy<\/strong>. Hence, we may see the precious remain relatively stable as <strong>gold<\/strong> <strong>market<\/strong> nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch <strong>await<\/strong> for the <strong>results<\/strong> of the <strong>report<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-newmont-and-newcrest-merger-potentially-setting-a-new-record\"><strong>Newmont and Newcrest merger potentially setting a new record<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to Reuters, <strong>US based Newmont<\/strong> offered to buy <strong>Australia\u2019s Newcrest Mining LTD<\/strong> for <strong>$19.5 billion<\/strong>, potentially <strong>extending<\/strong> <strong>Newmont\u2019s<\/strong> control as the <strong>world\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>biggest<\/strong> <strong>gold<\/strong> <strong>producer<\/strong>. If the <strong>merger<\/strong> proceeds as planned, we may see <strong>Newmont\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>gold output<\/strong> nearly <strong>doubling<\/strong> against it\u2019s <strong>rival Barrick Gold Corp<\/strong> as stated by <strong>Reuters<\/strong>. According to S<strong>&amp;P Global Market Intelligence<\/strong>, the merger may allow <strong>Newmont<\/strong> to have a <strong>greater<\/strong> <strong>control<\/strong> over the <strong>current precious<\/strong> <strong>prices<\/strong>, as their ability to <strong>control<\/strong> approximately 8.9% of the <strong>world\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>global<\/strong> <strong>gold<\/strong> <strong>supply<\/strong>, may provide <strong>leverage in future negotiations<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>gold<\/strong> outputs. Hence, the <strong>shiny<\/strong> <strong>metal\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>price<\/strong> may <strong>benefit<\/strong> from this <strong>merger<\/strong> as control of global <strong>supply<\/strong> <strong>solidifies<\/strong>, hence may <strong>reduce<\/strong> <strong>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong> in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><em>XAUUSD H4 Chart<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/xau-usd-4h-chart-11-04-2023-technical-analysis.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60468\" width=\"825\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1985 (S1), 1950 (S2), 1925 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 2025 (R1), 2050 (R2), 2070 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gold\u2019s price<\/strong> seems to be moving in an <strong>upwards<\/strong> <strong>fashion<\/strong> having <strong>broken<\/strong> above <strong>previous<\/strong> <strong>resistance<\/strong> now <strong>turned<\/strong> <strong>support<\/strong> at 1985 (S1) level. We tend to <strong>maintain<\/strong> a <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> as long as the <strong>price<\/strong> <strong>action<\/strong> remains <strong>above<\/strong> the 1985 (S1) <strong>level<\/strong> with the <strong>RSI<\/strong> indicator <strong>moving<\/strong> towards 70. &nbsp;For our <strong>bullish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong>, to continue we would require price to make a <strong>clean<\/strong> <strong>break<\/strong> the <strong>above<\/strong> the 2025(R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> <strong>level<\/strong>, aiming if not <strong>breaking<\/strong> also the 2050 (R2) <strong>resistance<\/strong> <strong>barrier<\/strong> formed on the 5<sup>th<\/sup> of April, that has yet to be <strong>retested<\/strong>. Should the <strong>bears<\/strong> take over, we would <strong>require<\/strong> a <strong>clear<\/strong> <strong>break<\/strong> <strong>below<\/strong> the <strong>support<\/strong> line of 1985 (S1) and a move towards <strong>support<\/strong> at the 1950 (S2) <strong>level<\/strong> potentially moving even <strong>lower<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br><em>This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the market returns to normal and the levels of volatility are gradually&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[376,355,386,411,780,338],"class_list":["post-60464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-gold","tag-gold-market","tag-gold-price","tag-gold-traders","tag-market-research","tag-technical-analysis","blog-category-metals","blog_tag-gold","blog_tag-gold-market","blog_tag-gold-price","blog_tag-gold-traders","blog_tag-market-research","blog_tag-technical-analysis","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold Outlook: Gold Outlook: Gold near to its peak<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold near to its peak\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/gold-near-to-its-peak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Gold near to its peak\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1029,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"gold\",\"Gold market\",\"gold price\",\"Gold traders\",\"market research\",\"Technical analysis\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\",\"name\":\"Gold Outlook: Gold Outlook: Gold near to its peak\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\",\"description\":\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Gold near to its peak\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfx-cn.com\\\/th\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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