{"id":55390,"date":"2023-02-09T15:08:15","date_gmt":"2023-02-09T13:08:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/?p=55390"},"modified":"2026-02-11T09:16:50","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T07:16:50","slug":"wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.co\/en\/wti-on-track-to-record-second-weekly-loss\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>WTI<\/strong> managed<\/a> to string three consecutive sessions in the greens this week, rebounding from last week\u2019s lows and the commodity is currently trading near the $79 per barrel. Supporting the ascend to higher ground has been growing concerns over <strong>supply shortages<\/strong> alongside <strong>rekindled optimism<\/strong> for a recovery in <strong>demand<\/strong>. Furthermore, the shutdown of <strong>Turkey\u2019s<\/strong> Ceyhan port this week in the aftermath of a devastating <strong>earthquake<\/strong> incident on early Monday morning, provided further support for <strong>crude<\/strong> prices, alongside <strong>Saudi Arabia\u2019s<\/strong> announcement that it would lift crude prices for Asian markets, in attempts to <strong>capitalize<\/strong> on <strong>demand<\/strong> from <strong>China<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>India<\/strong>. In this report we aim to shed light on the catalysts driving WTI\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-goldman-sachs-foresees-100-crude-in-2023\"><strong>Goldman Sachs foresees $100 crude in 2023<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Earlier this week, the head of commodities research of <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong>, Jeff Currie, reiterated the bank\u2019s projections for <strong>crude oil<\/strong> prices for the year ahead. Currie foresees <strong>WTI<\/strong> prices rising to $100 per barrel, making the <strong>commodity<\/strong> one of the best performing assets in 2023, since <strong>without sufficient supply capacity<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>investment<\/strong>, <strong>crude<\/strong> would run into a long period of <strong>shortages<\/strong> which would then lead to higher prices. Albeit his call being considered as bold, Currie noted that <strong>crude<\/strong>, v\u00e0 <strong>commodities<\/strong> by an extend, are in a <strong>multiyear super-cycle<\/strong> and the current consolidation near the $75 per barrel range would serve as the floor where <strong>WTI<\/strong> is expected to rally from. His expectations point out that by May, <strong>oil<\/strong> <strong>markets<\/strong> should flip to a <strong>supply deficit<\/strong> as <strong>underinvestment<\/strong>, <strong>lack<\/strong> of <strong>exploration<\/strong> and low <strong>stockpiling<\/strong> efforts from the Western nation, combined with <strong>China\u2019s insatiable hunger for oil<\/strong> following its full-fledged reopening, would create a \u201cbullish concoction\u201d for <strong>WTI<\/strong> prices. Sharing a similar outlook with Goldman Sachs is <strong>Morgan Stanley<\/strong> who also foresees <strong>dwindling spare capacity production<\/strong> around the second half of the year which would propel prices north of $100 per barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-jpmorgan-counters-bullish-outlook-sees-crude-struggling-to-breach-100-level\"><strong>JPMorgan counters bullish outlook, sees crude struggling to breach $100 level<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sitting on the opposite camp from Goldman Sachs, is <strong>JPMorgan Chase\u2019s<\/strong> head of commodities research Natasha Kaneva, who expects <strong>oil prices<\/strong> struggling to reach the $100 per barrel mark should there be an absence of a <strong>geopolitical event<\/strong>. The rationale behind the projection is based on the expectations that many developed and developing economies would decelerate substantially throughout 2023. Therefore, <strong>deteriorating economic growth<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>activity<\/strong> would inadvertently <strong>diminish demand<\/strong> for <strong>oil<\/strong>, capping the <strong>commodity\u2019s<\/strong> ascent to higher levels. Countering <strong>Goldman Sachs\u2019<\/strong> views for an impending <strong>supply shortage<\/strong> due to underinvestment and low levels of spare capacity, Kaneva stated \u201cthe reality for the <strong>oil market<\/strong> is that there is simply more supply than <strong>demand<\/strong> this year.\u201d Siding with JPMorgan\u2019s \u201c<strong>bearish<\/strong>\u201d outlook is Citigroup\u2019s head of commodities research, Ed Morse, who warns that global <strong>oil demand<\/strong> will see only \u201cmeager\u201d growth this year and forecasts that <strong>crude<\/strong> would trend around $80 a barrel in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis\"><strong>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti-cash-h4\">WTI Cash H4<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"291\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/wti-oil-4h-chart-09-02-2023-technical-analysis.png\" alt=\"WTI rebounds toward $79 on 4H oil price chart amid supply concerns\" class=\"wp-image-55397\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking at <strong>WTICash<\/strong> 4-hour chart we observe oil prices finding <strong>support<\/strong> around the 73.50 (S2) level earlier this week, breaking above the upper limit of the <strong>descending channel<\/strong> and rising towards the 79.00 (R1) resistance level. We hold a <strong>bullish bias<\/strong> towards for the <strong>commodity<\/strong> given the aforementioned break and supporting our case is the <strong>RSI indicator<\/strong> below our 4-hour chart which registers a value of 67, indicating the <strong>bullish sentiment<\/strong> surrounding <strong>WTI<\/strong>. Should the <strong>bulls<\/strong> maintain control, we may see the price action break above the 79.00 (R1) resistance level and head closer to the 82.60 (R2) <strong>resistance barrier<\/strong>. Should on the other hand, the bears take over, we may see the break below the <strong>ascending trendline<\/strong>, the break of the 76.60 (S1) support level and price action moving closer to the 73.50 (S2) <strong>support base<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.co\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.co<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Disclaimer:<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTI managed to string three consecutive sessions in the greens this&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[404,380,403],"class_list":["post-55390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-oil-market","tag-oil-price","blog-category-commodities","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns : Oil Outlook<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"WTI rebounds toward $79 as supply concerns, port disruptions, and stronger demand expectations support oil prices.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"WTI rebounds toward $79 as supply concerns, port disruptions, and stronger demand expectations support oil prices.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-09T13:08:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-11T07:16:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ja\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-09T13:08:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-11T07:16:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":688,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ja\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"oil and gas\",\"oil market\",\"oil price\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/\",\"name\":\"WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns : Oil Outlook\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ja\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-09T13:08:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-11T07:16:50+00:00\",\"description\":\"WTI rebounds toward $79 as supply concerns, port disruptions, and stronger demand expectations support oil prices.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/wti-rebounds-to-the-79-range-amid-supply-concerns\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"WTI rebounds to the $79 range amid supply concerns\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ja\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ja\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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