{"id":35666,"date":"2022-08-04T08:45:50","date_gmt":"2022-08-04T05:45:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/?p=35666"},"modified":"2025-12-10T10:11:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T08:11:09","slug":"equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?"},"content":{"rendered":"

US stock markets<\/strong> were on the rise<\/strong> since our last<\/strong> report<\/strong>, with all three<\/strong> major<\/strong> equities<\/strong> indexes<\/strong>, being in the greens<\/strong>. Yet we must note that the ascending<\/strong> course<\/strong> sems to have been at least temporarily<\/strong> halted<\/strong>. Today we are about to take a more<\/strong> c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/strong> approach<\/strong> which could have moved<\/strong> the markets<\/strong> in the past<\/strong> few<\/strong> days<\/strong> and move them in the coming<\/strong> days<\/strong>. For a rounder<\/strong> view<\/strong> the report<\/strong> is to finish<\/strong> with a k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong> analysis<\/strong> of Dow<\/strong> Jones<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We make a first stop<\/strong> on last Wednesday<\/strong> the 27th<\/sup> of the month and the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> interest<\/strong> rate<\/strong> decision<\/strong>. As was widely<\/strong> expected<\/strong>, the Fed<\/strong> delivered<\/strong> a 75 basis points rate hike<\/strong> unanimously<\/strong> and in its accompanying<\/strong> statement<\/strong> the FOMC<\/strong> kept a rather confident<\/strong>, hawkish<\/strong> tone<\/strong>  citing<\/strong> a tight<\/strong> US<\/strong> employment<\/strong> market<\/strong> as well as inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> in the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong>. Fed<\/strong> Chairman<\/strong> Powell<\/strong>, in his press<\/strong> conference<\/strong>, which may have been the market<\/strong> moving<\/strong> element<\/strong> of the event<\/strong>, stated that inflation<\/strong> is much<\/strong> too<\/strong> cao<\/strong> v\u00e0 wage<\/strong> growth<\/strong> is elevated<\/strong>, while there is still upward<\/strong> pressure<\/strong> on inflation<\/strong>. Yet Powell<\/strong> also stated that the size<\/strong> of the next<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hike<\/strong> is going to be dependent<\/strong> on the data<\/strong> to be released<\/strong>, which may imply that the next<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hike<\/strong> may not<\/strong> be as<\/strong> wide<\/strong> as<\/strong> 75 basis points<\/strong>, yet the bank<\/strong> will not<\/strong> hesitate<\/strong> to repeat<\/strong> it<\/strong> if necessary<\/strong>. At the same time the Fed\u2019s Chairman<\/strong> stated that he does not<\/strong> believe<\/strong> that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> is currently<\/strong> in a recession<\/strong> as the economy<\/strong> is doing well<\/strong> in a number<\/strong> of areas<\/strong> especially the employment<\/strong> market<\/strong>. All of the above tended to provide some support<\/strong> for US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong>, as the prospect of an easing<\/strong> of the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> rate<\/strong> hiking<\/strong> path<\/strong> could allow for some opportunities<\/strong> for growth<\/strong> for the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong>. Even yesterday Tuesday we had St. Louis Fed President Bullard<\/strong> stating his belief that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> can<\/strong> avoid<\/strong> a recession<\/strong>, while San Francisco Fed President Daly<\/strong> implied that he Fed<\/strong> is to continue to tighten<\/strong> its monetary policy<\/strong> in order to curb inflationary pressures<\/strong> in the US economy<\/strong>. Despite Powell\u2019s<\/strong> sayings<\/strong> the GDP<\/strong> advance<\/strong> growth<\/strong> rate for Q2<\/strong> was telling a different<\/strong> story<\/strong> on Thursday<\/strong> the 28th<\/sup>, as it failed<\/strong> to exit<\/strong> the negative<\/strong> territory<\/strong> v\u00e0 signalled<\/strong> that the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> is in a recession<\/strong>, at least technically<\/strong>, given that it remained<\/strong> in the negatives<\/strong> for another<\/strong> quarter<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also on a fundamental level<\/strong>, we cannot miss out on commenting<\/strong> on the escalation<\/strong> of tensions<\/strong> in the US-Sino relationships<\/strong>. It should be noted that US House speaker Nancy Pelosi<\/strong> visited Taiwan<\/strong>, the first of a high-ranking US politician<\/strong> in the past 25 years and the visit<\/strong>, causing<\/strong> an enraged<\/strong> response<\/strong> from China<\/strong>. The issue<\/strong> intensified<\/strong> market<\/strong> worries<\/strong> for the possible<\/strong> adverse<\/strong> effects<\/strong> on the US<\/strong> economy<\/strong> causing US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong> to stall<\/strong> and even drop<\/strong> a bit<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The next big test for US stockmarkets<\/strong> <\/a>is expected to be the US employment report for July<\/strong>, which is due out on Friday<\/strong>. The NFP figure<\/strong> is expected to drop<\/strong> if compared to June<\/strong>, while the unemployment<\/strong> rate<\/strong> is expected to remain<\/strong> unchanged<\/strong> at rather low levels<\/strong>. Overall the US<\/strong> employment market<\/strong> seems to remain<\/strong> tight<\/strong> should the actual<\/strong> rates<\/strong> v\u00e0 figures<\/strong> meet their respective<\/strong> forecasts<\/strong>, albeit the tightening<\/strong> seems to be losing<\/strong> some<\/strong> steam<\/strong>. Please note that at the time<\/strong> of the release<\/strong> there may be increased<\/strong> Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong> for US<\/strong> stockmarkets<\/strong>, so some caution<\/strong> is advisable<\/strong>. Also please note that the earnings season<\/strong> is still on<\/strong> v\u00e0 the releases<\/strong> may sway<\/strong> market<\/strong> opinion<\/strong>. Should the earnings<\/strong> reports<\/strong> be better<\/strong> than<\/strong> expected<\/strong> we may see the positive<\/strong>, risk<\/strong> on<\/strong> attitude<\/strong> on behalf of investors<\/strong> intensifying<\/strong> v\u00e0 vice<\/strong> versa<\/strong>. We note the release of EBAY<\/strong>, Booking<\/strong> v\u00e0 Moderna<\/strong> today Wednesday,  Alibaba<\/strong> (#BABA), GoPro<\/strong> (#GPRO),Dropbox<\/strong>, New Fortress Energy<\/strong> (#NFE), LYFT<\/strong> on Thursday and CGC<\/strong> on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US 30 Cash, Daily Chart<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Technical<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Support: 32200 (S1), 31170 (S2), 29850 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 33100 (R1), 34150 (R2), 35300 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones<\/strong> corrected<\/strong> lower<\/strong> yesterday yet remained between the 33100<\/strong> (R1) and the 32200<\/strong> (S1) levels. We tend to maintain<\/strong> a bullish<\/strong> outlook<\/strong> for the index as long as it remains<\/strong> above<\/strong> the upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> incepted since the 15th<\/sup> of July. Please note that the price<\/strong> action<\/strong> tested the prementioned<\/strong> upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> today<\/strong>, yet at the same time the RSI<\/strong> indicator<\/strong> seems to remain<\/strong> comfortably<\/strong> near<\/strong> the reading of 70<\/strong> implying some bullish<\/strong> sentiment<\/strong>. For the time being it seems that the distance<\/strong> created<\/strong> by the correction<\/strong> lower<\/strong> between the price-action<\/strong> and the upper<\/strong> Bollinger<\/strong> Band<\/strong> could allow buyers<\/strong> for some extra<\/strong> room<\/strong> to manoeuvre<\/strong>. Should the bulls<\/strong> actually maintain<\/strong> control<\/strong> over the index\u2019s<\/strong> direction<\/strong> we may see Dow<\/strong> Jones<\/strong> breaking the 33100<\/strong> (R1) resistance line and take aim of the 34150<\/strong> (R2) resistance<\/strong> level. Should on the other hand the bears<\/strong> take over, we may see the index<\/strong>, breaking the prementioned<\/strong> upward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> the 32200<\/strong> (S1) support<\/strong> line and aim for the 31170<\/strong> (S2) support<\/strong> level.    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:
This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US stockmarkets were on the rise since our last report, with all three major equities indexes, being in the greens.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nStocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ms\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":866,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ms\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stocks Outlook: Is the Recent Rally Temporarily Halted?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ms\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-04T05:45:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T08:11:09+00:00\",\"description\":\"Stocks pause as Fed signals data-driven hikes, recession risks linger, and US-China tensions shape market sentiment.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-stocks-rise-temporarily-halted\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/vi\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Equities Outlook \u2013 Stocks\u2019 rise temporarily halted?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ms\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/ms\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\""Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners' needs. 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