{"id":128352,"date":"2026-02-13T14:44:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T12:44:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=128352"},"modified":"2026-02-20T13:19:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T11:19:26","slug":"januarys-us-cpi-rates-could-shake-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/vi\/januarys-us-cpi-rates-could-shake-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"January\u2019s US CPI rates could shake the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

January\u2019s US CPI rates to shake the markets<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

With the release of the stronger-than-expected US employment data for January<\/a>, the market\u2019s expectations for the Fed <\/strong>to cut rates <\/strong>were dialled back, allowing for the greenback <\/strong>to regain some of its confidence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The next big test for the USD<\/strong><\/a> <\/strong>is expected to be the release of the US CPI rates<\/strong> for the same month, and analysts expect the rates to slow down a bit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should we see the CPI rates slowing beyond market expectations, we may see the USD losing further ground as expectations for the Fed to cut rates earlier may intensify, while a possible acceleration of the rates could take the market’s <\/strong>by surprise and cause the USD to rally.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US tech shares tumble on AI worries<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US stock markets<\/strong> were on the retreat yesterday, with tech shares leading the way lower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market worries<\/strong> for the excessive investments <\/strong>in AI from the sector were rekindled and tended to lead to a risk-off market sentiment, weighing on equities<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A possible intensification of market worries for the issue could lead to further losses for US stock markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices drop on demand worries<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices<\/strong> were on the retreat yesterday as market worries for the future level of demand in the oil market surfaced. We note that China<\/strong>, which is one of the main consumers of oil is increasingly turning towards renewable energy forms, while at the same time, IEA <\/strong>expects oil demand<\/strong> to continue to grow yet at a slower pace. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time US-Iran tensions<\/strong> seem to thaw, which in turn tends to ease market worries for a possible bottleneck on the supply side of the international oil market<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crypto king continues to fall<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In the crypto market<\/strong>, Bitcoin\u2019s <\/strong>price continued to fall yesterday and in today\u2019s Asian session as the market\u2019s favorite crypto gauge, the CMC Crypto Fear and Greed Index<\/strong> fell to record low levels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, the bearish sentiment <\/strong>continues to weigh on the crypto\u2019s price and if it intensifies, we may see the crypto-king\u2019s price falling even further.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get Euro Zone\u2019s revised GDP rate<\/strong> for Q4 and on a monetary level, we note that ECB <\/strong>Vice President De Guindos<\/strong> v\u00e0 BoE <\/strong>Chief Economist Pill <\/strong>speak. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get from Japan the preliminary GDP rate for Q4.Charts to keep an eye out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY<\/u><\/strong> dropped yesterday yet reversed the losses and then some in today\u2019s Asian session, remaining well between the 151.50 (S1) support line<\/strong> and the 154.30 (R1) resistance level<\/strong>. The correction <\/strong>higher of the pair\u2019s price action has interrupted its downward motion<\/strong>, breaking the downward trendline<\/strong> guiding it, hence we temporarily switch our bearish outlook in favour of a sideways motion<\/strong> bias. At the same time we note that the RSI indicator<\/strong> remains low indicating a bearish market sentiment<\/strong>, thus we issue a warning for any bearish tendencies of the pair. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bears <\/strong>renew their dominance, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 151.50 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 149.15 (S2) support level. Should the bulls <\/strong>take over, we may see USD\/JPY <\/a>breaking the 154.30 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 157.80 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BTC\/USD<\/span><\/strong> continued to edge lower by breaking the 66750 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. We still maintain a bias for a sideways motion for now, yet note that the market sentiment remains strongly bearish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bearish outlook to re-emerge we would require the cryptos\u2019 price action to break the 58900 (S1) support line. For a bullish outlook<\/strong> to be adopted, Bitcoin\u2019s price has to break the 66750 (R1) level and continue to break also the 74560 (R2) resistance barrier clearly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"Support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 151.50 (S1), 149.15 (S2), 146.25 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 154.30 (R1), 157.80 (R2), 161.90 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    BTC\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"Support<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 58900 (S1), 49200 (S2), 38500 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 66750 (R1), 74560 (R2), 81160 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \"Chart<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"Table<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:
      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUS CPI Market Impact: January Rates Outlook<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US CPI market impact could shift USD, stocks, oil, and crypto trends. 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