{"id":97434,"date":"2025-01-20T11:55:15","date_gmt":"2025-01-20T09:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=97434"},"modified":"2025-01-20T11:55:48","modified_gmt":"2025-01-20T09:55:48","slug":"trump-returns-for-four-more-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/pt\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump returns for four more years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In an easy Monday, Trump is to be inaugurated, marking his return to power after four years on the opposition. We expect Trump\u2019s second term to fuel uncertainty on a political level, both in the internal scene and international politics. Given that it\u2019s his second term we expect a greater degree of confidence, if compared to the first term, which may lead to even more extreme choices on behalf of the US President. Market expectations are for Trump\u2019s Presidency to promote further deregulation in the markets which may boost riskier assets such as US Stock markets and the Crypto market, but also gold\u2019s Price. The possibility of the US imposing tariffs on US imports from Europe, Canada, China and Mexico, could underscore the dominance of the USD and provide it with some support. The interest of the inauguration lies primarily in Trump\u2019s speech at which he is expected to highlight his intentions with some headline comments that could increase volatility in the markets.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Trump inauguration day\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/CmRemMRgJAw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market we note that the USD edged higher against the CAD, forcing the pair to test the 1.4465 (R1) resistance line. We maintain a bullish outlook for the pair despite its stabilisation over the past month given the upward trendline guiding it since the 25<sup>a.<\/sup> of September. We also note that the RSI indicator is between the reading of 50 and 70, implying a bullish predisposition of the market for the pair. For the continuance of the bullish outlook, we would require the pair to break the 1.4465 (R1) resistance line, which is a 4-year high and start aiming for the 1.4665 (R2) resistance barrier. Should the bears take over, a scenario we currently view as remote, we may see USD\/CAD breaking initially the prementioned upward trendline signaling an interruption of the upward movement and continue to break the 1.4280 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 1.4110 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P 500 was in an upward motion in the past week moving between the 5890 (S1) support line and the 6100 (R1) resistance level. Given that the main body of the price action remained well within the boundaries of the prementioned levels, with few exceptions and the price action of the index has marked a peak yesterday equal and not lower than the one on the 6<sup>a.<\/sup> of January, we maintain a bias for a sideways motion. The RSI indicator is rising and has just broken above the reading of 50, implying some bullish tendencies, yet remain unconvincing for now. Should the bulls take over, we may see the index breaking the 6100 (R1) resistance line, which is a record high level for S&amp;P 500 with the next target for the bulls being possibly at the 6300 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see the index\u2019s price action relenting the gains of the past week by dropping below the 5890 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 5675 (S2) support level.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s December PPI rates and later on New Zealand\u2019s Electronic card sales for December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get the UK\u2019s employment data for November, followed by the Zone\u2019s and Germany\u2019s ZEW figures for January, Canada\u2019s CPI rates for December and New Zealand\u2019s CPI rates for Q4.On Wednesday we note the start of the World Economic Forum. On Thursday, we get Japan\u2019s trade balance for December, the UK\u2019s Nationwide house prices rate for January, Norway\u2019s interest rate decision, Turkey\u2019s CBT interest rate decision, the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, Canada\u2019s retail sales rate for November and the Zone\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence figure for January. On Friday, we note Australia\u2019s preliminary PMI figures for January, Japan\u2019s CPI rates for December and preliminary PMI figures for January, followed by the BOJ\u2019s interest rate decision, Sweden\u2019s preliminary GDP rate for Q4 and unemployment rate for December, France\u2019s, Germany\u2019s, the Euro Zone\u2019s, the UK\u2019s and the US preliminary PMI figures and lastly from the US the UoM final consumer sentiment figure all for the month of January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"973\" height=\"451\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-68.png\" alt=\"support at one point four two eight and resistance at one point four four six five, direction upwards  \" class=\"wp-image-97435\" title=\"usd-cad-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p> <p class=\"MsoListParagraph\" style=\"margin-bottom:0in;text-indent:-.25in;line-height:105%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol;mso-ansi-language:EN-GB;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-size-adjust: none; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-feature-settings: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/span>Support: 1.4280 (S1), 1.4110 (S2), 1.3925 (S3)<b><span lang=\"EN-GB\"><\/span><\/b><\/p> <p class=\"MsoListParagraph\" style=\"margin-bottom:0in;text-indent:-.25in;line-height:105%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol;mso-ansi-language:EN-GB;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-size-adjust: none; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-feature-settings: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/span>Resistance: 1.4465 (R1), 1.4665 (R2), 1.4850 (R3) <b><span lang=\"EN-GB\"><\/span><\/b><\/p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US 500 Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-69.png\" alt=\"support at five thousand eight hundred and ninety and resistance at six thousand one hundred, direction sideways     \" class=\"wp-image-97436\" title=\"us-five-hundred-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 5890 (S1), 5675 (S2), 5390 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 6100 (R1), 6300 (R2), 6500 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"496\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-70.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97437\" title=\"benchmark-20-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1720\" height=\"973\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-71.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97438\" title=\"morning-releases-20-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1049\" height=\"596\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-72.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-97439\" title=\"table-20-1-2025\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Se tiver alguma d\u00favida ou coment\u00e1rios sobre este artigo, solicitamos que envie um email diretamente para a nossa equipa de Research atrav\u00e9s do <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\"\/pt\/research_team@ironfx.com\/\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isen\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade:<br>Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 considerada como aconselhamento ou recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o ao investimento, mas apenas como comunica\u00e7\u00e3o de marketing. O IronFX n\u00e3o \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por quaisquer dados ou pela informa\u00e7\u00e3o fornecida por terceiros aqui mencionados, ou com links diretos, nesta comunica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In an easy Monday, Trump is to be inaugurated, marking his return to power after four years on the opposition.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-97434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97434\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump returns for four more years\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/pt\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-01-20T09:55:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-01-20T09:55:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Trump returns for four more years\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-01-20T09:55:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-20T09:55:48+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":797,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/trump-returns-for-four-more-years\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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