{"id":127759,"date":"2026-02-03T12:26:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T10:26:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=127759"},"modified":"2026-02-03T12:26:01","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T10:26:01","slug":"usd-holds-gains-aussie-jumps-on-hawkish-rba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/ph\/usd-holds-gains-aussie-jumps-on-hawkish-rba\/","title":{"rendered":"USD holds gains, Aussie jumps on hawkish RBA"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-holds-gains-on-favourable-data\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>USD holds gains on favourable data<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/markets\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FX market<\/a> we note that <strong>USD holds gains<\/strong> in today\u2019s Asian session, as favorable financial data were released in the US yesterday. The ISM manufacturing PMI figure for the past month rose beyond market expectations, showing an expansion of economic activity in the sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monetary level, the markets continue to be focused on Warsh\u2019s nomination as the next Fed Chairman and should the market\u2019s expectations for his intentions turn hawkish we may see the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/markets\/forex\/eurusd\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">USD gaining further ground<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rba-s-hikes-rates-sounds-hawkish\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>RBA\u2019s hikes rates, sounds hawkish<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the land of the down under, RBA hiked rates as was expected and tended to sound hawkish giving the Aussie a boost. In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/media-releases\/2026\/mr-26-03.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">accompanying statement<\/a> the bank highlighted the inflationary pressures in the Australian economy and seemed ready to tighten its monetary policy further is necessary. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We view the bank\u2019s stance as supportive for the Aussie and should more hawkish comments follow in the coming days by RBA officials we may see the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/markets\/futures\/aud_z5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Aussie getting additional support<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-equities-edge-higher-bitcoin-still-not-out-of-the-woods-oil-continues-to-drop\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><a><strong>US equities edge higher, Bitcoin still not out of the woods, Oil continues to drop<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/markets\/shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">US stock markets<\/a> edged higher yesterday pairing the losses of the past two Monday and Friday, which provided an optimistic tone in the markets, while oil prices continued dropped as the markets remove the premium placed in the past week, given the easing of tensions between the US and Iran, while Bitcoin seems to stabilise somewhat, yet we think that it\u2019s still not out of the woods.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out-0\"><strong><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong><u>USD Index<\/u> <\/strong>continued to rise yesterday hitting a ceiling at the 97.40 (R1) resistance line and remained there in today\u2019s Asian session. We would like to adopt the bullish outlook, yet the RSI indicator remains just below the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the bullish outlook to be maintained the index\u2019s price action would have to break the 97.40 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 99.25 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, we may see the index reversing the gains of the past days by breaking the 96.00 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 94.60 (S2) support barrier.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00a0<u>S&amp;P 500<\/u> <\/strong>edged higher yesterday reapproaching the 7015 (R1) resistance line, thus remaining close to record high levels. The index maintains a nice sideways motion remaining relatively unaffected by the mayhem of the past few days in the markets, hence we maintain a bias for the rangebound motion to continue. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bulls take over ,we may see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/markets\/indices\/us500cash\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">S&amp;P 500\u2019s price action<\/a> entering unchartered waters by breaking the 7015 (R1) resistance line while for a bearish outlook to emerge we would require the index\u2019s price action to drop below the 67.15 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 6490 (S2) support level.\u00a0 \u00a0<strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the less than expected slowdown of Turkey\u2019s CPI rates for January, and the deceleration of France\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for the same month. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the American session, we highlight the release of the US Jolts job openings, given the release of January\u2019s US employment report at the end of the week, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/types-of-traders\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">oil traders may be more interested<\/a> in the release of the weekly US API crude oil inventories figure and kiwi lovers may focus on the release of New Zealand\u2019s employment data for Q4 25. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the monetary front, we note that Richmond Fed President Barkin is scheduled to speak, and should he deliver hawkish comments, <strong>USD holds gains<\/strong> and may receive additional support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s final Composite and Services PMI figures for January and China\u2019s Rating Dog Services PMI figure for the same month, while in Australian RBA Assistant Governor Jones is speaking.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-index-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>USD Index Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"289\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/usd-index-daily-chart.png\" alt=\"support at ninety six and resistance at ninety seven point four, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-127763\" title=\"xau-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 96.00 (S1), 94.60 (S2), 93.25 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 97.40 (R1), 99.25 (R2), 100.30 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-btc-usd-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>BTC\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"698\" height=\"323\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/s-and-p-five-hundred-daily-chart.png\" alt=\"support at six thousand seven hundred and fifteen and resistance at seven thousand and fifteen, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-127765\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 6715 (S1), 6490 (S2), 6210 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 7015 (R1), 7250 (R2), 7500 (R3)\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"831\" height=\"203\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/benchmark-daily-03022026.png\" alt=\"Bar chart showing daily currency rates as USD holds gains, with AUD\/USD the top gainer at 0.97% and EUR\/USD the biggest loser at -0.46%.\" class=\"wp-image-127766\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"545\" height=\"544\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/financial-calendar-03022026.png\" alt=\"Financial release schedule showing key economic indicators as USD holds gains, covering Turkey, France, the US, New Zealand, Australia, Japan, and China.\" class=\"wp-image-127767\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD holds gains as Aussie jumps on hawkish RBA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD holds 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