{"id":58847,"date":"2023-03-28T16:47:08","date_gmt":"2023-03-28T13:47:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=58847"},"modified":"2025-10-13T16:50:29","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T13:50:29","slug":"gold-faces-a-market-correction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/nl\/gold-faces-a-market-correction\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold faces a market correction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <strong>hoog<\/strong> <strong>Volatiliteit<\/strong> created by the <strong>mini-crisis<\/strong> in the <strong>banking<\/strong> <strong>sector<\/strong> appears to have <strong>subsided<\/strong> this week and <strong>gold<\/strong> <strong>eased<\/strong> from its <strong>one-year<\/strong> high. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/golds-price-reaches-almost-record-highs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Following <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">gold\u2019s rapid<\/span><\/strong><\/a> <strong>ascent<\/strong> to the <strong>heavens<\/strong> after <strong>banking<\/strong> <strong>fears<\/strong> <strong>funnelled<\/strong> <strong>inflows<\/strong> into the <strong>precious<\/strong>, it now appears that the <strong>shiny<\/strong> metal is experiencing a <strong>markt<\/strong> <strong>correction<\/strong>. In this report, we aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Subdued banking tensions boost the precious<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The wide <strong>uncertainty<\/strong> in the <strong>global<\/strong> <strong>banking<\/strong> <strong>sector<\/strong> even though <strong>subsided<\/strong> over the past week as <strong>central<\/strong> <strong>banks<\/strong> rushed to <strong>calm<\/strong> <strong>investors\u2019<\/strong> nerves, kept the <strong>markt<\/strong> on its feet, remaining on <strong>edge<\/strong> despite several <strong>contradicting<\/strong> <strong>comments<\/strong> from <strong>policymakers<\/strong> around the <strong>world<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week we had Fed <strong>Bullard\u2019s<\/strong> speech in which it was stated that \u201c<strong>Financial stress has been on the rise in recent days<\/strong>\u201d implying that despite <strong>Treasury Secretary Yellen\u2019s<\/strong> attempt to <strong>fix<\/strong> her <strong>previous<\/strong> <strong>remarks<\/strong> to be in line with those of <strong>Fed Chair Powel<\/strong> regarding <strong>providing<\/strong> ample <strong>liquidity<\/strong> to <strong>banks<\/strong>, it is still the <strong>opinion<\/strong> of <strong>Fed Bullard<\/strong> that \u201c<strong>These developments have led to volatile trading in banking equities and increases in measures of financial stress<\/strong>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <strong>underscores<\/strong> the <strong>structural<\/strong> <strong>pre<\/strong>&#8211;<strong>existing<\/strong> <strong>problems<\/strong> within the <strong>financial<\/strong> <strong>industry<\/strong>, pilling onto the <strong>fear<\/strong> that the <strong>Fed<\/strong> may be <strong>afraid<\/strong> to <strong>proceed<\/strong> with <strong>higher<\/strong> <strong>interest<\/strong> rates in fear of \u201c<strong>breaking<\/strong>\u201d the <strong>banks<\/strong>. Moreover, the <strong>shiny<\/strong> metal\u2019s <strong>price<\/strong> was <strong>positively<\/strong> <strong>affected<\/strong> following <strong>remarks<\/strong> by <strong>Fed<\/strong> <strong>Kashkari<\/strong> whose <strong>tone<\/strong> appeared to be <strong>changing<\/strong> to a more <strong>dovish<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong>, <strong>implying<\/strong> that the <strong>balance<\/strong> of <strong>power<\/strong> within the <strong>FED<\/strong> is now <strong>shifting<\/strong> as such they may decide to <strong>hold<\/strong> <strong>rates<\/strong> rather than <strong>increase<\/strong> in the <strong>next<\/strong> <strong>meeting<\/strong> if <strong>fears<\/strong> of <strong>contagion<\/strong> keep <strong>spreading<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, the <strong>precious<\/strong> could <strong>potentially<\/strong> <strong>increase<\/strong> in price as the <strong>unscheduled<\/strong> <strong>emergency<\/strong> <strong>meeting<\/strong> of the <strong>Financial Stability Oversight Council,<\/strong> combined with an <strong>undisclosed<\/strong> <strong>bank<\/strong> <strong>tapping<\/strong> the <strong>Fed<\/strong> for <strong>$60bn<\/strong> in <strong>liquidity<\/strong> further supports that the <strong>US Banking sector is not strong and resilient<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Anticipates Fed&#8217;s Next Move: Potential Impact on Gold Price<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After <strong>last week\u2019s wild swings<\/strong>, the <strong>market\u2019s expectations<\/strong> seem to have <strong>relatively<\/strong> <strong>calmed<\/strong> down as <strong>markets<\/strong> <strong>anticipate<\/strong> the next <strong>decision<\/strong> of <strong>news<\/strong> from <strong>officials<\/strong> which could provide some <strong>insight<\/strong> into future <strong>monetary<\/strong> <strong>policy<\/strong> <strong>meetings<\/strong>. The possibility of the <strong>Fed<\/strong>, <strong>hiking<\/strong> <strong>interest<\/strong> <strong>rates<\/strong> further could <strong>weaken<\/strong> the price of <strong>gold<\/strong>, given the <strong>negative<\/strong> <strong>correlation<\/strong> of <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>price<\/strong> with the <strong>USD<\/strong>. Should the <strong>Fed\u2019s<\/strong> <strong>rhetoric<\/strong> switch back to <strong>predominantly<\/strong> <strong>hawkish<\/strong>, we could see <strong>support<\/strong> for <strong>USD<\/strong>, leading to <strong>outflows<\/strong> from the <strong>precious<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TECHNISCHE ANALYSE<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><em>XAUUSD H4 Chart<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"292\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/xau-usd-4h-chart-28-03-2023-technical-analysis.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-58850\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1935 (S1), 1900 (S2), 1865 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1970 (R1), 2000 (R2), 2050 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-price-neutral-outlook-analysis\"><strong>Gold Price: Neutral Outlook Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gold\u2019s<\/strong> price seems to be moving in a <strong>sideways<\/strong> <strong>channel<\/strong> after a <strong>correction<\/strong> <strong>lower<\/strong> from the <strong>highs<\/strong> of the 2000 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> line and having <strong>broken<\/strong> the <strong>upwards<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong>. Overall, we tend to <strong>maintain<\/strong> a <strong>neutral<\/strong> <strong>outlook<\/strong> as long as the <strong>price<\/strong> action remains <strong>between<\/strong> the 1935 (S1) and 1970 (R1) levels with the <strong>RSI<\/strong> indicator remaining steady at 50. Should the price action <strong>breach<\/strong> the <strong>resistance<\/strong> line of 1970 (R1) that may allow for <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> price to test <strong>resistance<\/strong> at the 2000 (R2) \u00a0level marking a <strong>break<\/strong> <strong>above<\/strong> the <strong>midway<\/strong> <strong>Bollinger<\/strong> <strong>band<\/strong> <strong>range<\/strong> thus potentially <strong>moving<\/strong> even <strong>higher<\/strong>. On the other hand, should <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> price <strong>stabilization<\/strong> be <strong>maintained<\/strong> we may see it making a <strong>clean<\/strong> <strong>break<\/strong> of the <strong>bellow<\/strong> 1935 (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> line, aiming if not <strong>breaking<\/strong> also the 1900 (S2) <strong>support<\/strong> level as at this point we could expect the <strong>precious<\/strong> to also <strong>break<\/strong> below the <strong>lower<\/strong> <strong>band<\/strong> of the <strong>Bollinger<\/strong> <strong>bands<\/strong> thus we may see a <strong>downward<\/strong> <strong>trendline<\/strong> forming allowing for a <strong>bearish<\/strong> <strong>scenario<\/strong> to emerge.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br><em>This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The high volatility created by the mini-crisis in the banking sector&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[376,355,386,411,780,338],"class_list":["post-58847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-gold","tag-gold-market","tag-gold-price","tag-gold-traders","tag-market-research","tag-technical-analysis","blog-category-metals","blog_tag-gold","blog_tag-gold-market","blog_tag-gold-price","blog_tag-gold-traders","blog_tag-market-research","blog_tag-technical-analysis","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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