{"id":134378,"date":"2026-07-02T11:03:23","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T08:03:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=134378"},"modified":"2026-07-02T11:05:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T08:05:10","slug":"junes-us-employment-report-to-rock-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/ko\/junes-us-employment-report-to-rock-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"June\u2019s US employment report to rock the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 id=\"h-june-s-us-employment-report-to-shake-the-markets\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>June\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\u00a0<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD edged higher yesterday, possibly supported by Fed Chairman Warsh\u2019s hawkish comments. Today, market\u2019s attention turns towards June\u2019s US employment report. US employment data yesterday came in weaker than expected and the NFP figure is expected to drop, and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged. Should the actual data show an even looser-than-expected US employment market, we may see the USD slipping while gold\u2019s price and US stock markets may get some support. On the flip side, a possibly tighter than expected US employment market could cause the USD to rally and weigh on gold and equities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-bearish-sentiment-for-oil-prices-remains\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>Bearish sentiment for oil prices remains<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil prices dropped yesterday, with WTI falling below $69\/barrel. The market\u2019s focus remains fixed on developments in the Middle East, with another round of US-Iranian negotiations being concluded, showing some progress, yet serious issues remain unsolved. Possible enhancement of market expectations for a further normalisation of the situation could weigh on oil prices.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-wall-street-ends-lower\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>Wall Street ends lower<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wall Street ended the day in the reds yesterday as Fed Chairman Warsh\u2019s hawkish stance weighing particularly on tech shares. We note that Apple is reported to start using Chinese chips for products sold in China, which may have a negative effect on the revenue figure and thus its share price, while we also note Meta\u2019s intentions to compete in the cloud business allowing its share price to rise.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-gold-bears-take-a-break\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>Gold bears take a break\u00a0<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The soft employment data released yesterday and the drop in oil prices implied a possible easing of inflationary pressures, allowing gold\u2019s price to edge higher in today\u2019s Asian session. Nevertheless, we still consider the negative correlation of the USD with gold as being active, and the US employment report for June later today could cause substantial volatility for gold\u2019s price.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-other-highlights-for-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\uae08\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \ub274\uc2a4<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today we get Switzerland\u2019s CPI rates for June, the US factory orders for May, and Canada\u2019s June manufacturing PMI figure. We note that ECB Board Member Buch, San Francisco Fed President Daly and BoE policymaker Mann speak. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s Composite PMI figures and China\u2019s Rating Dog Services PMI figure all for June.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> continued to place some distance between its price action and the 160.50 (S1) support line yesterday. We intend to maintain our bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding it remains intact. Yet we have to note that the pair is at overbought levels and could correct lower while the possibility of a market intervention by Tokyo to the Yen\u2019s rescue is probable. Should the bulls remain in the driver\u2019s seat, we may see the pair continuing to aim for the 164.40 (R1) resistance level while for a bearish outlook the pair has to break the prementioned upward trendline, continue to break also the 160.50 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 157.50 (S2) support level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\uace8\ub4dc<\/strong>\u2019s price edged higher after bouncing on the 3960 (S1) support line. The downward direction of the precious metal\u2019s price action seems to have been interrupted hence we switch our bearish outlook for a sideways motion bias currently. Yet we note that despite the rise of the RSI indicator it still remains in bearish territory. Should the bears regain control over gold\u2019s price we may see it breaking the 3960 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 3600 (S2) support base. Should the bulls take over we may see gold\u2019s price nearing if not breaching the 4380 (R1) resistance line. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"4361\" height=\"4503\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/calendar-07022026-economic-news-forex-events.jpg\" alt=\"An economic calendar table detailing Forex event releases for Thursday and Friday early morning. High-impact US events scheduled for 15:30 include Non-Farm Payrolls (survey 110k, prior 172k), Unemployment Rate (survey 4.3%), and Average Earnings YY (survey 3.5%). Other key indicators listed include Switzerland CPI YY, Canada S&amp;P Global Mfg PMI, and various central bank policymaker speeches.\" class=\"wp-image-134379\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/usd-jpy-daily-07022026-currency-pairs.png\" alt=\"A daily technical analysis price action chart for USD\/JPY demonstrating a sustained bullish uptrend supported by an ascending black trendline and Bollinger Bands. Overhead horizontal resistance levels are marked in red at R1 (164.40), R2 (168.00), and R3 (171.60). Below-market horizontal support levels are plotted in green at S1 (160.50), S2 (157.50), and S3 (155.00). The bottom panel displays an RSI(14) indicator pointing upward at 72.7056, indicating overbought conditions.\" class=\"wp-image-134381\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 160.50 (S1), 157.50 (S2), 155.00 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 164.40 (R1), 168.00 (R2), 171.60 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-xau-usd-daily-chart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>XAU\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/xau-usd-daily-07022026-charts-currency-pairs.png\" alt=\"A daily technical analysis price action chart for XAU\/USD showing a strong downtrend within Bollinger Bands, moving well below a descending black trendline. Key horizontal resistance levels are marked in red at R1 (4380), R2 (4770), and R3 (5245). Horizontal support levels are marked in green at S1 (3960), S2 (3600), and S3 (3250). An RSI(14) indicator panel at the bottom shows a current reading of 38.8415.\" class=\"wp-image-134380\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 3960 (S1), 3600 (S2), 3250 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 4380 (R1), 4770 (R2), 5245 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uba74\ucc45 \uc870\ud56d:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc804\ub2ec\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc38\uc870\ub9cc \ud558\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. IronFX\ub294 \ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c 3\uc790\uac00 \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc5f0\uacb0\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub610\ub294 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>June\u2019s US employment report to shake the markets\u00a0 USD edged higher yesterday, possibly supported by Fed Chairman Warsh\u2019s hawkish comments.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-134378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.9 (Yoast SEO v27.9) - 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