{"id":136015,"date":"2026-09-14T16:26:54","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:26:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=136015"},"modified":"2026-09-14T16:27:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:27:17","slug":"gold-outlook-fed-decision-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\/id\/gold-outlook-fed-decision-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Outlook: Fed decision week"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since our last report Gold\u2019s price, appears to be moving in a downwards trajectory. In today\u2019s report we are to discuss mainly fundamental issues and we intend to end the report with a technical analysis of Gold\u2019s daily chart.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-fed-decision-to-shake-the-markets\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fed decision to shake the markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>Fed\u2019s interest rate decision<\/strong> is set to take place later on this week and will most certainly garner significant market attention at the time of its release. Specifically, the Fed decision is set to take place this Wednesday, with the majority of market participants currently anticipating the bank to hike rates by 25 basis points. In particular, <strong>FFF<\/strong> currently implies an <strong>86.8% probability<\/strong> for such a scenario to materialize; thus attention could turn to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement and <strong>Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s press conference<\/strong> following the banks decision. During the speech and within the banks accompanying statement, market participants may be looking for clues which may provide insight into the bank&#8217;s next steps moving forward. In particular, our attention will be turned to the comments about the persistently high energy prices stemming from the tensions in the Middle East and as to how the <strong>bank<\/strong> may be factoring in these conditions when deciding their monetary policy path. In our view, we wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see a more hawkish sentiment emerging from policymakers <strong>post-Fed decision<\/strong>, which could provide support for the dollar whilst weighing on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/markets\/metals\/XAUUSD\">gold\u2019s price<\/a> given its assumed inverse relationship with the <strong>dollar<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-us-iran-tensions-escalate-as-other-actors-increase-their-involvement\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US-Iran tensions escalate as other actors increase their involvement<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tensions between the <strong>US and Iran<\/strong> continue to be escalating, with Iranian state media claiming that an Iranian commercial vessel was struck on Saturday in the Strait of Hormuz. Per <strong>CNN<\/strong> the <strong>US<\/strong> has not commented on the reported attack. Furthermore, Iranian backed rebels have attacked <strong>Saudi bases<\/strong> and energy installations in the region, thus amping the economic pressure on a global scale. Overall, tensions have risen and should they continue to do so on a much larger scale, we may see gold receiving inflows given its safe haven asset status. Although it should be noted that <strong>gold\u2019s<\/strong> aforementioned safe haven status appears to be dormant at this point in time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-us-inflation-accelerates-on-a-month-on-month-basis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US inflation accelerates on a month-on-month basis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Inflation print for August was released last Friday. On a headline and core level on a year-on-year basis, the inflation print came in as expected by economists, with the <strong>Core CPI<\/strong> rate coming in at 2.4% and the Headline CPI rate come in at 3.4%. However on a month-on-month basis, both figures showcased an acceleration of inflationary pressures, which in turn may have aided the dollar, whilst weighing on gold\u2019s price given their inverse relationship with one another. Moreover, the <strong>UoM<\/strong> <strong>preliminary<\/strong> <strong>inflation<\/strong> expectations for September also came in higher than expected, showcasing worries about a possible acceleration of inflationary pressures which could have further aided the greenback during Friday\u2019s trading session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-technical-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Analisis Teknikal<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-xau-usd-daily-chart\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>XAU\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"501\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-1024x501.png\" alt=\"XAU\/USD Daily Chart\" class=\"wp-image-136016\" srcset=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-1024x501.png 1024w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-300x147.png 300w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-767x375.png 767w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-18x9.png 18w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-558x273.png 558w, \/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image.png 1090w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Support: 4180 (S1), 4020 (S2), 3790 (S3)<br>Resistance: 4435 (R1), 4520 (R2), 4695 (R3)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold\u2019s price appears to be moving in <strong>downwards fashion<\/strong>. We opt for a bearish outlook for the commodity and supporting our case is the break below our support now turned to resistance at the 4435 (R1) level. Moreover, further aiding our hypothesis is the RSI indicator below our chart which currently registers a figure close to 40, implying a bearish market sentiment. For our bearish outlook to continue we would require a clear break below our 4180 (S1) support level with the next possible target for the bears being our 4020 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a bullish outlook we would require a clear break above our 4435 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being our 4520 (R2) resistance level. Lastly, for a sideways bias we would require gold\u2019s price to remain confined between our 4180 (S1) support level and our 4435 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since our last report Gold\u2019s price, appears to be moving in a downwards trajectory. In today\u2019s report we are to<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":108601,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-136015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.4 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold Outlook:- Fed decision week | IronFX\u2122<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gold moves lower as the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision is in sight, with markets awaiting a 25bp rate hike.Also find attached a customed version of the morning comment, where keywords are underlined for each paragraph, while the green 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